Empirical metrics and political trends suggest Donald Trump's new felonious status will help rather than harm his electoral prospects.
Author: Patrick Basham (Patrick Basham)
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An Underwhelming Haul
Despite enjoying many advantages, from the state of the economy to Biden's unpopular presidency, Republicans were out-electioneered by the Democrats in the 2022 midterms. How did it happen?
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Betting Against a Blue Wave
Democrats are likely to face insurmountable partisan, demographic, and policy challenges during the final weeks of midterm election campaigning.
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Biden’s Inexplicable Victory
Eleven months after the 2020 American presidential election, the official results remain so incongruous, they merit an empirical exegesis. The political establishment’s narrative is that Biden won an unexpectedly close race, and the outcome requires no further examination. Yet, Biden’s victory is so statistically suspicious, so riddled with ahistorical outcomes, that a detailed data examination...