Uncertain Endgame in Ukraine

The war in Ukraine was started by Russia, but it was willed, engineered and choreographed by the U.S.-led West. It is both a mistake and a crime, a minus-sum game for the declining European remnant . . .

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Comments (6)

Eventually, when American voices are heard once again in (the Soviet Socialist Republic of) Dee Cee, it’ll be remembered that our National security depends on mastery of THE OCEAN APPROACHES, when facing a hegemonic and hostile Great Power that has arisen on the Eurasian/North African Continent. Being permanently stationed there to PREVENT that hostile hegemonic entity from arising is a draining, weakening exercise (like an army of occupation being slowly demoralized and slowly bled to death by resistance to their occupation, even resistance by NONPARTICIPATION). We should lead an Armistice effort, with the main bargaining chip (to win Russia’s agreement) is our exiting of NATO and a security guarantee to Russia of logistical & intel support, should the new security bloc (probably The Intermarium, one
of several NEW Blocs arising from the ashes of a dead NATO) launch a cross-border invasion on Russia, and likewise we’ll support THEM, should Russia launch another westward invasion. The MAIN POINT of this agreement, is it gets US off the NATO/Nuclear War hook because IT DOES NOT MATTER to us how the Pan European borders get redrawn. It’s the OCEANS that matter to us. THAT is where any Old World hostile force will be stopped. In reality, we need almost NOTHING from the Old World, NOT when the English-speaking World has two Continents for our resource piggybanks, and we are on overall, generally, friendly terms with the Spanish-speaking Tribe south of the Rio Grande.

March 6, 2023 Larry Bowen Reply

This is a foolish involvement on our part, and our pushing NATO was the beginning. We will learn a costly lesson!

March 8, 2023 Ida George Reply

Excellent, accurate and practical analysis however a decisive and unacknowledged aspect of this and perhaps all conflicts is the active element of “evil” not the existential EVIL but the negative, selfish, power-hungry nature of many that are driving and have driven societies for millennium.

March 9, 2023 Jac Miller Reply

In my mind there are only two realistic outcomes. The first is that there is a negotiated peace with the borders drawn similarly to where they are now, more or less. The second is that the war continues indefinitely as a kind of insurgency in the disputed areas. This is more costly to all sides, but politically may be want the US wants. Ukraine’s will to go along will wane over time as capital, land, property, and human beings are destroyed. The first is the best option. The second is basically the first with more death and occurring farther in the future.

Worst case is American troops in Ukraine then nuclear war happens. That should be avoided at all costs. Losing Boston for Lugansk may be worth it to DC but it isn’t worth it to Boston. They should have a say if there lives are put at risk not warmongers in bunkers.

https://thecrosssectionrmb.blogspot.com/2023/02/the-ethics-of-liberty-punishment-and.html

March 9, 2023 RMB Reply

Kyiv’s resistance collapsing and Russia winning seems like a perfectly realistic possible outcome to me, if Kyiv insists on letting the attrition get that far. I’m not seeing any NATO stomach for committing enough forces to prevent that outcome.

March 14, 2023 Gandydancer Reply

Most military actions have a purpose, and plan to achieve that purpose, and follows the ‘rules of war.’
1) I kill more of you than you kill of me until you quit.
2) I destroy your ability to fight and strike back

Russia has voiced a specific set of goals and retrained himself to those goals. Neutralize the Ukranian Military and protect the Eastern Provinces.

Russia has done little to harm the rest of Ukraine. It has destroyed power, military sites – both Ukranian and foreigners working in Ukraine – and killed many. It has been restrained in destroying the fertile agriculture, mining and manufacturing. All evidence suggests they have been trying to accomplish their military goals with the smallest disruption of life in Ukraine.

Any military leader must ask, “When will Putin’s patience run out and the rubbelizing begin?”

March 27, 2023 Arthur_500 Reply

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